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Frozen pre-match forecast · #141257

WA Mostaganem VS RC Kouba

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.62%
Draw
28.88%
Away
47.50%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7872
Log loss
1.2420

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
ab1df0dde3c60b7105302f27445acdf6aad1784c47444fd38aaa2a5720c7fdd2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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