Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #141229

KVC Westerlo VS Patro Eisden

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
64.45%
Draw
20.17%
Away
15.38%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1907
Log loss
0.4393

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
652f89107e615134ddfdb4e651409b0fa62a541b13298fbc8feb50e6e012bd7b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →