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Frozen pre-match forecast · #141193

Petrovac VS Kom

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
64.76%
Draw
20.48%
Away
14.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1880
Log loss
0.4346

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
98b9b1f6d67405151f2bebc1f14f69398759b76d065e7b689aca5fb7cd5986d6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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