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Frozen pre-match forecast · #141190

Berane VS Jedinstvo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
14.60%
Draw
19.25%
Away
66.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.1730
Log loss
0.4132

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
78db9c3a638c5b27ca95b4b1f7cc27f31a0f7d48c71afd105f1eafe3a80c94dc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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