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Frozen pre-match forecast · #14119

Amurrio Club VS Sodupe

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:55 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.61%
Draw
33.23%
Away
45.16%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6965
Log loss
1.1017

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:55 UTC
SHA-256
3ff85c9c2f67fc29f5bdb9ce3e4f00225a0aec5546232e15b7ba4ca9edd581b2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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