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Frozen pre-match forecast · #141150

Depor FC VS Quindio

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.64%
Draw
27.96%
Away
46.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4313
Log loss
0.7680

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
3c844e2cca0968d41b07dd06c5758a21e0c49945cfebe558478d11c957174d5f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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