Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #140975

Enppi VS El Mokawloon

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.37%
Draw
30.01%
Away
38.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.5652
Log loss
0.9514

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
ac637389b245c7b8b4793f700ffecf6b3aa2d86a18468ac9c0fa0fc1a7d3d1cf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →