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Frozen pre-match forecast · #140914

Qiziriq VS BuxDu

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.04%
Draw
24.78%
Away
33.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
f0c09d13f47e7e96f9f689ab6c31d390622990d6750f40c33b0df177f7ae0ea6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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