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Frozen pre-match forecast · #140189

Tromsdalen Uil VS Eidsvold

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.14%
Draw
22.77%
Away
34.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6724
Log loss
1.0762

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
28bfc43dded68509e9e543f950affa585c935ddde3b454158c2d595f7ea91246

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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