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Frozen pre-match forecast · #140183

Pusamania Borneo VS Yangon United

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.70%
Draw
24.35%
Away
21.95%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3218
Log loss
0.6218

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
badae1ddb9f4283f3212cd8b509a1f2e5255b87e76459cceb82ee9bcb4998e42

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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