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Frozen pre-match forecast · #140115

FC Copenhagen W VS Odense Q

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.66%
Draw
22.15%
Away
22.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9643
Log loss
1.5055

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
04305b1e84300b9864bc894e0ffe03239632cb41cb7762919c09c70ccd6d7502

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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