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Frozen pre-match forecast · #140038

Hunters VS Erchim

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 08:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
81.32%
Draw
10.72%
Away
7.96%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.0527
Log loss
0.2068

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
1d30896c097c853dac73a0f0295558e0938071b1340ddbdab0d96e2bb6ffceb9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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