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Frozen pre-match forecast · #139942

Getafe II VS Albacete II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 09:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.14%
Draw
19.58%
Away
11.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.1375
Log loss
1.6308

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
4573e00369905f26d0319d5760e6e219111ce36a8d0802c828921f0e855e105a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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