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Frozen pre-match forecast · #139915

Deltras VS Persis Solo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.47%
Draw
25.14%
Away
26.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.8650
Log loss
1.3807

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
1fe46079827dc48ba3d3ba613f82d7f0025d305c0c87164746ea6ea0f2dd86ef

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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