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Frozen pre-match forecast · #139798

Westchester SC VS Union Omaha

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.38%
Draw
23.08%
Away
42.54%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6648
Log loss
1.0677

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
0960d55c7e96a4f32ba357949aa6410649ca1dd5d127f38e60c43040275fa3dd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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