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Frozen pre-match forecast · #13974

Sokół Kolb. VS Wiślanie Jaśkowice

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:52 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.13%
Draw
33.95%
Away
30.93%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6553
Log loss
1.0804

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:52 UTC
SHA-256
b225b6ca53be7eac31680bf3d02b1659f9a15a246381b9fb75eda3c6e9497bb0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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