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Frozen pre-match forecast · #139389

Korabi Peshkopi VS Bylis

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
14.67%
Draw
24.72%
Away
60.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9556
Log loss
1.3976

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
b1e7162c8a873f1e2bbfa90a893cba1249029b5b839fc6b4e2e23d2202629590

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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