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Frozen pre-match forecast · #139351

Dinamo Zagreb U21 VS Karlovac 1919

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.52%
Draw
23.83%
Away
20.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9949
Log loss
1.5778

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
b38e4966712e76b3722517a9643c8b3ad3a39f7ffe984d74ee96c06b64987f88

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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