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Frozen pre-match forecast · #139345

Bsk Bijelo Brdo VS Orijent 1919

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.41%
Draw
28.79%
Away
25.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7799
Log loss
1.2451

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
a1ace7125c29b6b36c416195e67586a6c81b158c4498a3a0a68b9f19a3e651d5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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