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Frozen pre-match forecast · #139250

Osters IF VS Oddevold

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.67%
Draw
24.84%
Away
41.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6738
Log loss
1.0886

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
d59de15237977dfc898996b2c56a0554d41a3d85aebfee7a0b8055b1da9e04f6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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