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Frozen pre-match forecast · #13925

Unipomezia VS Ossese

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:52 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.05%
Draw
34.97%
Away
33.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7132
Log loss
1.1696

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:52 UTC
SHA-256
3604b81e9146873a57d7ccdb52a7aae6e6b5fb83a31b5576507d6c81ef2f1074

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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