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Frozen pre-match forecast · #139083

Peterhead VS Cove Rangers

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.41%
Draw
26.09%
Away
34.50%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5542
Log loss
0.9312

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
e36775c2be561f6c17a2472163fd3b3ea047cef85245d843460256e4386b452b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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