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Frozen pre-match forecast · #138769

Sutjeska Foča VS Potkozarje

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.68%
Draw
28.22%
Away
27.10%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4591
Log loss
0.8056

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
68dfcf9e3b919d2aebe6bf063981e46b975161fa2e346e0c4afd0c792b74d822

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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