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Frozen pre-match forecast · #138681

Olimpic Zărneşti VS Valenii de Munte

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.56%
Draw
16.81%
Away
17.63%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1780
Log loss
0.4222

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
ac273a4069196b7f855a26bb5f082435a3160809e3c57f1a1f340af16b2eabe3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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