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Frozen pre-match forecast · #138613

Vsetín VS Líšeň II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
11.98%
Draw
19.51%
Away
68.51%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1516
Log loss
0.3782

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
472c2584b48ac17cf8a93b01c1561bc0cf1c040f3d023551b916e3c18f76b355

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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