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Frozen pre-match forecast · #138610

Brønshøj VS Ringsted

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
77.64%
Draw
13.88%
Away
8.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.0765
Log loss
0.2531

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
77f7eaa56eff590e75286da09a56dc2d9e2219cb62c234b21664127909efb97b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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