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Frozen pre-match forecast · #138604

Brabrand VS HIK

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.20%
Draw
23.44%
Away
19.36%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0324
Log loss
1.6420

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
809ac5c16315660ae05c403d4dcc6603846bf9b5d76d039642c533f7e55de04b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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