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Frozen pre-match forecast · #13848

Borgosesia VS Bra

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:50 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.03%
Draw
33.40%
Away
43.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6864
Log loss
1.0966

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:50 UTC
SHA-256
bb27f7d131293787f85a5d3896971ac113378bf21e30360835be1716de130d19

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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