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Frozen pre-match forecast · #13834

Inter U23 VS Foggia

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:50 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.22%
Draw
30.73%
Away
30.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5542
Log loss
0.9360

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:50 UTC
SHA-256
05f61990f99f2aa203f036af97a354e96ae9e73434d7c64cd84ea17c3edc7a83

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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