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Frozen pre-match forecast · #13833

West Ham W VS Everton W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:50 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.61%
Draw
29.28%
Away
32.11%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6957
Log loss
1.1360

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:50 UTC
SHA-256
004d1e888d0cbe2491b02fde02983238cada8bc0ebd79cbe28bb5db27d2cea57

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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