Frozen pre-match forecast · #138262
Wexford VS UCD
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 14 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 16 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 39.04%
- Draw
- 24.31%
- Away
- 36.65%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.6128
- Log loss
- 1.0038
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 14 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
- SHA-256
- df87599ed26805f955a3c5f8c7d8941950e5b00e4680f7c931bddda4c025625e
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.