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Frozen pre-match forecast · #138207

Stocksund VS Enköping

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.16%
Draw
22.64%
Away
50.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.3730
Log loss
0.6892

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
9d151fd35c012d1acfc7a2d733427ec5ef76d6f3f5f92ab5363a49afd6f9eb7f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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