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Frozen pre-match forecast · #138179

Scheiblingkirchen VS Krems / Rehberg

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.78%
Draw
24.07%
Away
46.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4366
Log loss
0.7733

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
a7ee7b9cb1da037c8bb7eda385b32db0f48521e0f36aaedbadfb351526ed0fc4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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