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Frozen pre-match forecast · #138050

Tanjong Pagar VS Hougang United

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.23%
Draw
22.58%
Away
53.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9080
Log loss
1.4176

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
f92d4db8c2aee263ae71db055b1e811a03736d6507a0363d1e33f9fbe8204174

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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