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Frozen pre-match forecast · #137936

Kahraba Ismailia VS Team

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
73.17%
Draw
18.00%
Away
8.83%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.3990
Log loss
2.4270

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
547fd3dd9d4ebd7480075e8d87dc07bb06e54326e31522d88e255f11e5ecf8bc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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