Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #137929

Khon Kaen United VS Chainat

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.75%
Draw
24.84%
Away
24.41%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3638
Log loss
0.6783

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
12bd732aa2c524e79c61fc2d0696e9e7ad7da46045b8b846189e1e845402c04a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →