Frozen pre-match forecast · #137861
Al Faisaly VS Al-Nahda
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 14 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 14 Oct 2026 · 18:15 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 51.06%
- Draw
- 25.89%
- Away
- 23.05%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.3597
- Log loss
- 0.6722
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 14 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
- SHA-256
- a0f801279fa8c532adb15051c67c6a9e93f772bbb9e70e1b9bc468c7798f2d85
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.