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Frozen pre-match forecast · #137852

Feyenoord VS Como

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.33%
Draw
22.23%
Away
50.44%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8319
Log loss
1.2972

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
68e4a3c8a3606ff825f3ac373cc1201959c24af55d9f368f9cd91b73fc105c48

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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