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Frozen pre-match forecast · #137843

FCI Levadia II VS Nõmme Kalju II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
68.33%
Draw
16.15%
Away
15.52%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1505
Log loss
0.3808

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
8f9c8ced85db60fce60c217a0a9a8c194c15ee661b3ac4e36eed04232a3f5bbf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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