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Frozen pre-match forecast · #137794

Boleráz VS Námestovo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
9.00%
Draw
14.30%
Away
76.70%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.3308
Log loss
1.9449

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
b7dc8f309e4f1c7077f13f44e6d2f21f390ef5be455be57a55823e810469c663

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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