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Frozen pre-match forecast · #137789

Slovan Bratislava U19 VS Stuttgart U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
15.95%
Draw
17.09%
Away
66.96%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.1840
Log loss
1.8357

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
a3fda37e822d2f4d0ad8246f65e08953a22dec3ee371cf21e174780b0bd28ac2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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