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Frozen pre-match forecast · #137777

Vissel Kobe VS Jeonbuk Motors

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.54%
Draw
24.34%
Away
20.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2974
Log loss
0.5881

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
72e14bba5a031f9560205526cb3bdac991f2cedf8dadef3d00d2fbcdbe74caf0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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