Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #13774

FC Fredericia VS Vejle

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:49 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.19%
Draw
34.39%
Away
33.42%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6458
Log loss
1.0674

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:49 UTC
SHA-256
86b02db30abcccc046c54c9c9c07109296af8d52ad1f01be88d1aca9f39afb64

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →