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Frozen pre-match forecast · #137706

Latina VS Atalanta II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.63%
Draw
26.07%
Away
28.30%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4437
Log loss
0.7846

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
d2fa15e2d53e3d56dd7f79d5d93bd3a3c8b6dce052c8e8683e2da6572ee53ba5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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