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Frozen pre-match forecast · #137705

Témouchent VS MB Rouisset

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.30%
Draw
30.49%
Away
24.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8728
Log loss
1.4187

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
9c1af1af0b3588698927e4982e081ae74ec993a506be0ae4924211c5cf082fd9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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