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Frozen pre-match forecast · #137703

ES Setif VS JS Kabylie

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.43%
Draw
29.88%
Away
25.70%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7551
Log loss
1.2081

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
9c1ea7c6cfa71a0b27a35124f7719ee6dca96d29ec3a1a2860799be09b3aa0e9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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