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Frozen pre-match forecast · #13762

B36 II VS NSÍ II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:49 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.93%
Draw
32.09%
Away
38.97%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7599
Log loss
1.2402

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:49 UTC
SHA-256
c4ed2c5b09ffed5b4eae226f0e256d5bb23afc554085ac04cab3f5189e6be3e7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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