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Frozen pre-match forecast · #137545

Stade Gabesien VS Redeyef

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 02:02 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.65%
Draw
26.23%
Away
18.13%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2984
Log loss
0.5862

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 02:02 UTC
SHA-256
d89050da86dc6358756bb644a16eb99919bbe95fe1b5a63c993f7fb07f7fed59

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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