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Frozen pre-match forecast · #137518

BS Bouhajla VS Sporting Ben Arous

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 02:02 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.62%
Draw
30.15%
Away
31.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7346
Log loss
1.1990

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 02:02 UTC
SHA-256
72958d2c36b8936eb2fa6a7ad30de8b0863f113eebff70f25557ec680e23676b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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