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Frozen pre-match forecast · #13749

Bassecourt VS Münsingen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:48 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.25%
Draw
34.11%
Away
35.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7299
Log loss
1.1957

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:48 UTC
SHA-256
46bef61a32219d32925e019ae90ba3fed6dcef617759d9d2a297da2ab9554eb3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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